Economy Alone Fails to Explain Turkey’s Success
Many
commentators today are basing the success of Turkey’s Justice and
Development Party (AKP) in the June 12 elections largely on its ability
to guide the country through a decade of remarkable growth.
Economic
indicators are often seen as the obvious logic behind economic
stability - lack thereof. However, they are not enough on their own to
reach such sweeping conclusions.
In
an article entitled, ‘Look toward Turkey’s economy to understand
Erdogan’s re-election’, Ibrahim Ozturk opined: “From 2002 to 2007,
Turkey experienced its longest period of uninterrupted economic growth,
which averaged 6-7 percent year on year, while annual inflation
plummeted. Moreover, the economy proved resilient following the global
financial crisis, with growth recovering rapidly.” (Lebanese Daily Star,
June 18).
According
to Ozturk’s perceptive analysis, the AKP’s success in picking up the
pieces of a shattered economy (as a result of the 2001 severe economic
‘crisis’), and the ever-popular Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan
“appear to have secured democratic political control of Turkey’s
military and bureaucracy.” The powerful Turkish military had repeatedly
interfered in the country’s politics, leading three military coups which
all but destroyed Turkish democracy.
The
very promising Turkish political experience, now branded the “Turkish
model”, had its many challenges. It took a new generation of Turkish
leaders to position their country as a politically stable regional power
with a rising economy (the GDP registered an increase of 9 percent in
2010).
Did
sound, self-assured policies engender a strong economy, or was economic
growth responsible for the political stability (by keeping the military
at bay, thus further solidifying Turkey’s democratic experience)?
Libya
is an interesting example to consider while reflecting on this
question. The North African country, which is currently undergoing an
armed revolt and Western-led war, had been scoring high in terms of
sheer numbers. Thanks to petroleum-generated revenues, and a small
population, Libya has the highest per capita GDP in Africa. Its economic
growth has been relatively stunning from 2000 onwards. In 2010, GDP
grew by over 10 percent.
For
many Libyans however, social justice, distribution of wealth, political
freedom and other issues proved of greater relevance than gratifying
GDP charts.
In
Egypt too, despite the greater poverty experienced by the much larger
population (compared to Libya), the youth of the January 25 revolution
came from varied economic backgrounds. For many of them, freedom seemed
to top mere economic sustenance.
Turkey’s
case is not dissimilar to these. In fact, a discussion of Turkey’s
success cannot be reduced to one decade of economic growth and political
stability. More, ‘modern Turkey’ cannot be reduced to the palpable
successes of the AKP. It goes back to earlier generations, starting with
Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, the founder of the Republic of Turkey. A
larger-than-life figure in the eyes of several generations of Turks,
Ataturk was able to win Turkey’s independence – no easy feat,
considering the challenges of the time. However, neither he nor his
style of politics resolved the question of Turkey’s cultural and
political identity as a majority Muslim country that defined modernity
based almost exclusively on Western values. This question actually
lingered in the country for decades.
One
could argue that situating Turkey in suitable socioeconomic, cultural
and political contexts was one of the greatest challenges facing modern
Turkish politicians.
For
decades, Turkey was torn between its historical ties to Muslim and Arab
countries on the one hand, and the impulsive drive towards
Westernization on the other. The latter seemed much more influential in
forming the new Turkish identity in its individual, collective, and thus
foreign policy manifestation and outlook.
Even
during the push and pull, Turkey grew in import as a political and
economic player. It also grew into a nation with a decisive sense of
sovereignty, a growing sense of pride and a daring capacity for
asserting itself as a regional power.
In
the 1970s, when ‘political Islam’ was on the rise throughout the
region, Turkey was experiencing its own rethink. Various politicians and
groups began grappling with the idea of taking political Islam to a
whole new level.
In
fact, it was the late Dr Necmettin Erbakan, Prime Minister of Turkey
between 1996 and 1997, who began challenging the conventional notion of
Turkey as a second-class NATO member desperate to identify with
everything Western.
In the late 1980s Erbakan’s Rafah Party (the Welfare Party) took Turkey by storm. The party was hardly
apologetic about its Islamic roots and attitude. Its rise to power as a
result of the 1995 general elections raised alarm, as the securely
‘pro-Western’ Turkey was deviating from the very the rigid script that
wrote off the country’s regional role as that of a “lackey of NATO”, (a
phrase used by Salama A Salama in an Al-Ahram Weekly article last year).
The
days of Erbakan might be long gone, but the man’s legacy never departed
Turkish national consciousness. He began the process of repositioning
Turkey - politically, as well as economically - with the creation of the
Developing Eight (D-8), which united the most politically significant
Arab and Muslim countries. When Erbakan was forced to step down in a
‘postmodernist’ military coup, it was understood as the end of
short-lived political experiment.
But
the 2002 election win of the (AKP) rekindled Erbakan’s efforts through a
young and savvy new political leadership. This has just been awarded
yet a third mandate to continue its program of economic growth,
political and constitutional reforms.
Now
Turkey seems to be offering more than stability at home. It is also
serving as a regional model to its neighbors, an important contribution
in the age of Arab revolutions and potential political transformations.
It
is essential that the Turkish experience is not reduced to only charts
and numbers delineating economic growth. Some very wealthy countries are
politically restless. The success of the Turkish model supersedes the
economy to sensible political governance, democracy, the revitalization
of civil society and its many institutions.
Good
economic indicators can be promising, but without responsible
leadership to guide growth and distribute wealth, political stability is
never guaranteed.
-Ramzy Baroud (www.ramzybaroud.net) is an internationally-syndicated
columnist and the editor of PalestineChronicle.com. His latest book is
My Father Was a Freedom Fighter: Gaza's Untold Story (Pluto Press,
London), available on Amazon.com.