"Two months into the NATO bombing campaign against Col.
Muammar el-Qaddafi’s forces, Britain’s top military commander has said
that the Libyan leader could remain “clinging to power” unless NATO
broadened its bombing targets to include the country’s infrastructure."
Hmm. So this British guy, whoever he is, wants to bomb Libya to
smithereens as a way of forcing Qaddafi out. And I could swear they were
originally in there for some other reason—and very reticent about the extent of any military involvement.
The comments, by Gen. Sir David Richards, came at the end
of a week that saw NATO step up its airstrikes, with an accelerated
tempo of attacks on the capital, Tripoli. In the predawn hours of
Thursday, a volley of heavy bunker-busting bombs that struck Colonel
Qaddafi’s underground command headquarters in the city appeared to have
narrowly missed killing him.
Colonel Qaddafi’s defiant audio message after that attack, telling
NATO he was “in a place where you can’t get me,” appears to have played a
part in galvanizing opinion among NATO commanders, particularly in
Britain and France, the nations carrying out the bulk of the bombing.
Don’t piss these guys off, or they’ll come for you just on a dare.
Britain, in particular, with heavy combat commitments in
Afghanistan and mounting costs for the Libyan air campaign straining its
military budget, has been concerned that the conflict could be settling
into a long-running stalemate.
What was Britain’s particular reason for focusing on Qaddafi, as
opposed to any other run-of-the-mill murderous thug in these general
parts? I couldn’t remember, so I poked around, and came up with this piece we ran previously. It points out (courtesy of a little-noticed New York Times mention)
how Qaddafi had angered big oil companies by demanding a bigger piece
of the action from those extracting oil from his premises. Big petrol,
of course, includes BP—the outfit that has British government officials
by their privates:
In 2009, top aides to Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi called
together 15 executives from global energy companies operating in Libya’s
oil fields and issued an extraordinary demand: Shell out the money for
his country’s $1.5 billion bill for its role in the downing of Pan Am
Flight 103 and other terrorist attacks.
If the companies did not comply, the Libyan officials warned, there would be “serious consequences” for their oil leases, according to a State Department summary of the meeting.
Ok, back to the new Times piece…
Under the United Nations Security Council
resolution approving the Libyan air campaign, NATO was empowered to use
“all necessary means” to protect the country’s civilian population from
attack by pro-Qaddafi forces, which hold Tripoli and much of western Libya, while rebel forces control much of the country’s eastern region. That mandate has been stretchedbeyond attacks on tanks, artillery and other units engaged in front-line combat to a wide range of targets in Tripoli and elsewhere that have been identified by NATO as “command-and-control” centers, including Colonel Qaddafi’s Tripoli bunker.
Whoops! For a second I thought the Times was going to come out and just say it: “That mandate has been stretched beyond recognition to something entirely different—a war to take Qaddafi out altogether. In other words, an invasion, kind of like what Iraq turned out to be.
But the Times doesn’t quite say it, so you’re not quite
getting this small but somehow consequential point: what was first
presented as “protecting” the civilian population from attack has now
segued to attacking—and forcing the leader to flee, or better, killing
him.
Of course, all this puts Qaddafi in a truly untenable position, in
which he is forced to try even more harsh measures against his
uncooperative population, which in turn gives NATO more reasons to
express outrage and up the ante.
But with the war now at the end of its third month and the two sides skirmishing in battle zones spread across hundreds of miles, there has been growing concern in NATO capitals that the strategy needs a game-changing adjustment that might bring a rebel victory closer.
Again…pretty pretty close to stating the actual truth about what is—and has long been the game plan (for more on this see “The CIA’s Man in Libya”)
But…darn…just…can’t….quite say it.
Too…disconcerting…gonna…really…depress…our readers. Might lose faith in
what we keep telling everybody is a pretty righteous American foreign
policy.
NATO officials have made no secret of their belief that
this would most likely come with attacks that weaken Colonel Qaddafi’s
hold on Tripoli, ideally attacks that spread a sense of despondency
among Qaddafi forces and lend an impetus to a rebel underground that has
roots in some quarters of the city.
General Richards, chief of the defense staff in Britain, spoke in an
interview at NATO’s southern headquarters in Naples, Italy, which has
served as a command center for the attacks. “The vise is closing on
Qaddafi, but we need to increase the pressure further through more
intense military action,” he said in the interview, published in The
Sunday Telegraph. “We now have to tighten the vise to demonstrate to Qaddafi that the game is up.”
Why haven’t we heard more about this Richards chap? Another Field Marshal Montgomery.
He added that the bombing campaign, which has involved more than 2,500 sorties
since it began March 19, had been “a significant success.” But he
added: “We need to do more. If we do not up the ante now there is a risk
that the conflict could result in Qaddafi clinging to power.”
Oh, ok. So that is what it was all about. And 2,500 “sorties”—nice term, that—unless you’re a civilian being sortied
about. Two thousand five hundred bombing runs is a lot. (For more on
genteel terms, see how “granular” works well in Afghanistan, here.)
The general suggested NATO should be freed from
restraints that have precluded attacking infrastructure targets; other
NATO officials have suggested in recent weeks that these could include
elements of the electrical power grid in government-held areas, and fuel
dumps. And he defended attacks seemingly aimed at Colonel Qaddafi
himself, saying that “if he was in a command-and-control center that was hit by NATO and he was killed, that would be within the rules.”
Amazing. A really direct guy. Admits that he wants to kill Qaddafi,
that he really isn’t allowed to under the original marching orders, but
that there’s a way to achieve this “within the rules.”
A tally of NATO attacks given by alliance spokesmen in
Brussels gave a measure of how the bombing had already been intensified,
with a strong focus on Tripoli. NATO said that alliance aircraft struck
39 “key targets” in and around the capital in the first four days of
last week, including the strike Thursday on Qaddafi headquarters in
south-central Tripoli. The Tripoli targets, NATO said, included seven
“command-and-control” centers, compared with only three similar strikes
in the 10 days before then.
But the increased tempo of the attacks has shown little sign, so far,
of seriously destabilizing Colonel Qaddafi’s rule. For weeks, there has
been a heavily dispirited atmosphere in Tripoli, with many ordinary
Libyans eager to pull Western reporters aside to say they yearned for
Colonel Qaddafi to be ousted. NATO bombing attacks have often been
followed by outbreaks of automatic fire in neighborhoods in central
Tripoli, apparently started by hit-and-run attacks by elements of the
anti-Qaddafi underground.
General Richards’s call for a widening of the bombing targets prompted a dismissive reaction from the Qaddafi government. Khalid Kaim, a deputy foreign minister,
said the airstrikes had been aimed at infrastructure from the start,
and he cited a string of attacks on what he described as civilian
targets in several cities. As for attempts to kill Colonel Qaddafi, he said that NATO had conducted four airstrikes aimed at Libya’s leader, the latest on Thursday. Further attempts to kill him, he said, would be “a waste of time.”
Again, Mr. Kaim, this kind of taunt is just not helpful. You are definitely the runts on this playground.
This could all have been so, so much easier. All you had to do was play ball. And never mind those civilians.