The drive to undermine these two critically important social
programs is moving into high gear as the 79-million Baby Boomers this
year start to reach eligibility, even as their other assets--their homes
and their investment portfolios--are still shriveled by the Wall Street
heist known as the “fiscal crisis” and Great Recession.
For years, the right has been gravely warning of the supposedly
looming “bankruptcy” of Social Security and the even more imminent
“bankruptcy” of Medicare, as though these twin disasters for the elderly
were an actuarial imperative. In fact, both programs are political
creations, whose problems have political causes and political solutions.
Social Security is starting to draw down the huge reserves it had
built up, not because of an increase in retirees (the bulge in retirees
hasn't hit yet), but because the share of national income that is
subject to the Social Security FICA tax has fallen, from 90% back in the
1980s to just 84% now, as the wealthy have appropriated an increasingly
large share of the total national income. If more of the income of the
rich were slapped with the FICA tax, to bring the total share of income
subject to FICA back to 90%, there would be plenty of money to pay
promised benefits into the foreseeable future. The same can be said of
Medicare. More taxes on the rich would ensure the funding of that
program too.
There is no inherent reason why only the first $106,000 of a
person’s income should be subject to the FICA tax. It could be the first
$200,000, or the first $500,000, and if it were the latter, we could be
talking about improving benefits for retirees, or lowering the retirement age, not just preserving current levels. Benefits could be better still if investment income were no longer exempted from a FICA tax (and the Medicare tax).
But here’s the big point: Corporate America, and its political
lackeys in the Republican and Democratic Parties, know that they are
about to confront a dramatically more powerful protagonist in their
campaign to kill Social Security and Medicare: the Boomer Retirees.
The so-called Senior Lobby is already enormously powerful. That’s why
Social Security has so far largely defied concerted efforts by
Presidents Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush to undermine it, and it’s
why Republicans and conservative Democrats running for national office
always hasten to claim they are not going to threaten Social Security or
Medicare, or at least that they won’t threaten “current beneficiaries.”
It’s why they call Social Security the “third rail” of American
politics: touch it and you die (for those of you unfortunate enough to
live where there are no subways, the third rail is the “hot” rail that
carries the electricity to power the electric trains).
But a Boomer retiree population will be two times the size
of the current retiree population. That means that just in terms of the
number of potential voters, it will be two times as powerful. But
that’s only part of the story. The new generation of retirees are the
people who came of political age in the late 1950s during the Civil
Rights movement, and the 1960s and ‘70s during the anti-war movement and
the feminist movement. We are veterans of both engaged electoral
politics (witness that support our generation gave to the insurgent
campaigns of Eugene McCarthy, Robert Kennedy and George McGovern, as
well as a host of more successful Congressional campaigns), and of
powerful and of successful militant street politics.
What we showed back then in our youth and our formative young-adult
years was that when our interests were on the line, as they were with
the draft, or when we saw a gross injustice, as was the case with Jim
Crow, we knew how to fight politically. I'm not suggesting that the
people born in the decade and a half after World War II are particularly
radical, but I am suggesting that when this age cohort gets riled and
the right issue or set of issues sets the spark, we've got the spirit
and experience to take that struggle to the streets and the halls of
Congress. And clearly both our personal interests and our sense of
justice are on the line when it comes to the growing attack on Social
Security and Medicare. The other thing is we showed in the '60s that we
knew how to broaden our struggle to include generations besides our own.
Just one example of how that can work. I spent a year teaching
at Alfred University, a little liberal arts school plunked in the
middle of nowhere in western New York State. It was the 1990-91 school
year--the year the US invaded Iraq and "liberated" Kuwait. Students who
opposed that war came to me and asked me what to do. I didn't want to
"lead" them and they weren't asking me to, but they just had no idea
where to start. "How can we get students here to wake up?" these kids
asked me. I said, "What are you thinking of doing? They replied that
they thought they might go down to the main street (the only street!)
that runs through the little town of Alfred, and hold signs against the
war. "How will that get the students to come out and join you?" I
asked. They agreed glumly that it wouldn't help. It was winter, and
who'd even be down there? So finally I asked, "What if you marched
through campus, calling the kids to leave class and join you?" The kids
looked shocked. "March through the campus? Outside? or in the
buildings?" I said, "You have to decide." Again they looked shocked.
But that was what was decided. They began marching the next day, with
anti-war signs, crying "Join us!" Their numbers swelled. Eventually
there were hundreds of them, and so they marched down to Main Street,
but instead of just standing on the sidewalk with their signs, they took
over the street and shut it down! My role, small enough, was just to
remind them of what was possible. They took it from there.
My prediction: As the number of Boomers nearing or entering
retirement soars, and the number anticipating or signing up for Medicare
soars over the next few years, we will see massive national campaigns
grow around not just saving these programs but expanding and improving
them. With traditional pensions vanishing, and with IRAs and 401(k)
plans having been exposed as the shams they are, we are going to see an
irresistable demand grow for Social Security benefits to be raised,
particularly for poorer retirees, so that all Americans can have a
secure old age. And we will see another irresistable political drive to
have Medicare not just improved but broadened to cover all Americans,
as we Boomers recognize that it makes no sense at all to have a program
that only covers the oldest and sickest of Americans, and not the
younger and healthier population (our own kids and grandkids!). We will
realize that it is in our interest to have all Americans invested fully
in supporting a well-funded national Medicare program.
And if we don’t get it, we will be ready and willing to do what the public employees of Wisconsin are doing now--or more.
Hold on to your seats (and your walkers)! The new Boomer retirees are coming!