by Dave Lindorff
There was a word missing from President Bush’s pathetic State of the Union Address. That word was "domino."
With all his arguments for continued war in Iraq now exposed as lies and shams, our "war president" and would-be generalissimo has fallen back on the same last straw that Tricky Dick Nixon clutched to the end of his sorry presidency: the domino theory.
As Bush the Lesser put it last night, to a skeptical Congress and an even more disbelieving American public: "If American forces step back before Baghdad is secure, the Iraqi government would be overrun by extremists on all sides. We could expect an epic battle between Shia extremists backed by Iran, and Sunni extremists backed by Al Qaeda and supporters of the old regime. A contagion of violence could spill out across the country, and in time the entire region could be drawn into the conflict."
Sound familiar?
It should. Back in the Vietnam War days, we were told
that if Vietnam "fell," then Laos, Cambodia, Thailand and Malaysia
would "fall," and who knows what other countries after that, like a
chain of dominos -- leading, the hoary argument went, right back to
America.
Of course, it didn't quite happen that way. Vietnam won
its war against the U.S. The indigenous revolutionaries of Laos, the
Pathet Lao, defeated the CIA-backed royal government in Laos, too, but
in Cambodia, it was the U.S., not Vietnam, which spread the war to that
neutral kingdom, by overthrowing the existing government and setting up
a vicious right-wing dictatorship under Lon Nol, which was later ousted
by a Maoist movement, the Khmer Rouge. But that nominally communist
government was no ally of the Vietnamese. It was indeed the Vietnamese
who rescued the Cambodian people from the genocidal Khmer Rouge, who
ended up, incredibly, being backed by the U.S.
Thailand and Malaysia, of course, were never at risk of "falling."
The domino theory made no sense in Southeast Asia in 1970, and it is
equally ridiculous in the Middle East today. It is simply the last
desperate ploy of an administration that is terrified about having to
face the reality that the U.S. has lost its war in Iraq.
Digging Himself a Bigger Hole on Global Warming
While we're at it, let's mention the president's energy plans, if they
can be called that. The biggie would be his pledge to cut gasoline
consumption by 20 percent. Two points here. First of all, it turns out
that if you read the fine print, he wasn't talking about cutting
gasoline use from current levels by 20 percent, but only about cutting future projected
use in 2017 by 20 percent. That would really mean he was not talking
about cutting gasoline use, or imports, at all since gasoline use is
projected to rise nearly 20 percent over the next decade. Furthermore,
he said he wanted to achieve that so-called "reduction" not by making
cars more efficient, but by increasing the amount of ethanol in our
gasoline. This would have precious little impact on the climate change
which the president finally, for the first time in his life and his
presidency, publicly admitted to be a serious problem, since ethanol 1)
takes a tremendous amount of energy (and carbon emissions) to produce
and 2) produces carbon emissions when it burns. (Not to mention that
cars burning an ethanol/gasoline mix actually get worse mileage than
cars burning 100% gasoline.)
Meanwhile, the president said nothing about reducing
carbon dioxide emissions from power plants, which are at least as
serious contributors to global warming as are automobiles.
The real joke came when Bush called for a doubling of the
size of the National Petroleum Reserve, that giant hole down in
Louisiana's salt domes, where the U.S. has pumped vast quantities of
crude oil (and taxpayer dollars) to create an artificial oil patch. The
tax money that would go into doubling that huge hole, and into buying
oil at upwards of $50/barrel to fill it up, might be much better spent
drilling steam holes into the earth’s crust to make large numbers of
geothermal generating plants which could replace some or all of the
coal-fired generators around the country, thereby seriously reducing
America’s carbon emissions -- and producing clean electricity which
could, besides lighting our homes, power a new generation of electric
or hydrogen-powered cars.
Oops. I guess that's not an idea that would be real popular with the oil industry or the coal industry.
My bad.
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