WASHINGTON (ISNS) - Glaciers are
retreating and parts of the ice sheets on Greenland and Antarctica are
melting into the ocean. This must result in a rise in sea level, but by
how much?
New maps show rise in sea level greater in some places than others
Relative sea-level change rates in millimeters per year.
Credit: GRACE
A new measurement of the gravity everywhere around the globe
with a pair of orbiting satellites provides the first ever map detailing
the rises across different parts of the globe.
According to the new results, the annual world average sea level rise is
about 1 millimeter, or about 0.04 of an inch. In some areas, such as
the Pacific Ocean near the equator and the waters offshore from India
and north of the Amazon River, the rise is larger.
In some areas, such
as the east coast of the United States, the sea level has actually
dropped a bit over the past decade.
The surface of the sea is a constantly shifting fabric. To achieve a
truer sense of how much the sea is changing in any one place, scientists
measure the strength of gravity in that place. Measuring gravity over a
patch of ocean or dry land provides an estimate of how much mass lies
in that region. The measured mass depends on the presence of such things
as mountains, glaciers, mineral deposits, and oceans.
If the gravity measurement for a place is changing, this could mean that
the place is losing mass because of a retreating glacier or gaining
mass if, as in the ocean surrounding Antarctica, new melt water is
streaming in.
The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment,
or GRACE for short, consists of a pair of satellites moving in an orbit
that takes them over the South and North Poles. The two craft,
nicknamed Tom and Jerry after the television cartoon characters, send
constant signals to each other to determine their relative spacing to
about 10 microns -- one-tenth the width of a human hair -- over a
distance of 130 miles. If the first craft flies above a slightly more
weighty area of the Earths' surface -- like a mountain range -- it will
be tugged a bit out of place, an effect picked up by a change in the
relative spacing of the craft.
In these way monthly gravity maps of pieces of land or ocean about 180
miles wide can be made with high precision. The new report for the years
of 2003-09 looks at how much mass has been lost from land areas and how
much mass has been gained by ocean areas.
One of the authors of the report, Riccardo Riva from the Delft University of Technology
in the Netherlands, said that average annual rise in sea level rise due
to meltwater entering the ocean is about 1 millimeter, but that an
additional rise will come from that fact that as the average temperature
rises so does the ocean temperature, which in turn causes the volume of
the ocean to increase.
"The most important result of the new report is the measurement of the
sea level changes for specific regions of the Earth that are based on
direct and global measurements of mass change," Riva said.
Mark Tamisiea, who works at the National Oceanography Centre in Southampton, England, and was not involved in the GRACE work, believes the new report represents good research.
"As coastal sea level changes impact society, it is important for us to
understand as much about the local differences from the global average
as possible," Tamisiea said. "These results are one piece in that
puzzle."
"GRACE is definitely the 'real deal' when it comes from measuring
climate change from space," said Joshua Willis, an ocean expert at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory
in Pasadena, Calif. "This work by Dr. Riva and company reminds us that
the world's oceans don't behave like a giant bathtub. As the ice melts
and the water finds its way back to the ocean, the resulting sea level
rise won't be the same all over the world."
"These effects are still small in today's rising ocean, but as we look
out over the next century, the patterns of sea level change due to
melting ice will be magnified many times over as the ice sheets thin and
melt," Willis said.
Looking at the actual map of sea level rises presents an ironic twist.
Offshore the areas where melting ice is most rapidly falling into the
ocean -- such as Greenland and Antarctica -- the sea level appears to be
falling.
"The main reason for this is the rebound of the solid Earth," explained
Riva. "Less ice causes the continents go up, and therefore sea level
drops. Meltwater distributes around quite quickly, in most cases, so
there is no accumulation due to that."
The new GRACE results appear in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.