How Much “Success” Can Afghans Stand?
The American War and Afghanistan’s Civilians
by Nick Turse
With the arrival of General David Petraeus as Afghan War commander,
there has been ever more talk about the meaning of “success” in
Afghanistan. At the end of July,
USA Today ran an article
titled,
“In Afghanistan, Success Measured a Step at a Time.”
Days later,
Stephen Biddle, a Senior Fellow for Defense Policy at the Council on
Foreign Relations, held a
conference call with the media to speak about “Defining Success in Afghanistan.”
A mid-August editorial in the
Washington Post was
titled: “Making the Case for Success in Afghanistan.” And earlier this month, an Associated Press article appeared under the
headline, “Petraeus Talks Up Success in Afghan War.”
Unlike victory, success turns out to be a slippery term.
Tomgram: Nick Turse, Afghanistan on Life Support
You’ve undoubtedly had the experience of pulling on a
tiny, fraying thread and discovering, to your shock, that the larger
piece of clothing you’re wearing suddenly begins to unravel. The
equivalent seems to be happening in Afghanistan right before our eyes.
There, “the pride of Afghanistan's financial system,” Kabul Bank, with more than a million customers, is undergoing a slow-motion collapse.
Part of a fledging banking system proudly mentored by American
experts and Treasury Department officials, that sinkhole of a bank now
threatens to take down far more with it. In 2001, according to the Washington Post’s
David Nakamura and Ernesto Londoño, the Americans arriving in Kabul
wanted to create a “Western-style banking sector... that would make it
more difficult for terrorists to get money, while promising Afghans that
a regulated financial system would be more reliable and trustworthy.”
And, in a perverse sense, they succeeded.
We don’t yet know whether or not Kabul Bank is “too big to fail” and
so will prove to be the Goldman Sachs or the Merrill Lynch of
poverty-stricken Afghanistan. At the very least, it represents a
fraying Afghan cloth woven from just about every disastrous thread of
the American war and occupation: the deep corruption of the ruling elite,
the looting of what wealth the country has and its squandering abroad,
the tens of billions of dollars of drug money and reconstruction/aid
funds that have washed over a land with a gross domestic product of only
about $27 billion, and finally Washington's whole project in Afghanistan, which, as TomDispatch regular Nick
Turse indicates below, promised so much and delivered so desperately
little. (Of course, the very fact that the Taliban, the discredited
former rulers of that country in 2001, should be experiencing a
renaissance, tells you everything you need to know about the American
disaster there.)
To provide protection for themselves in the snake pit of Afghan
politics, the Kabul Bank’s two owners brought in (that is, bought) a
brother of President Hamid Karzai (who has been living in a $5.5 million
villa in Dubai purchased with bank funds) and a brother of Vice
President Muhammad Fahim (to whom it loaned a mere $100 million). Its top officers also evidently loaned out millions to themselves, splurged on 18 “villas” and
other property in Dubai just as the real estate market there was
preparing to take a nosedive, while playing fast and loose with the
bank's deposits. Since Kabul Bank holds government funds for salaries
to be paid to the Army, police, government workers, and teachers, the
possibility for popular discontent runs deep. In Kabul, the only
remaining branch of the bank still open is now surrounded by barbed
wire, and guarded by security forces prepared to beat back Afghans besieging the place desperate for their money or simply their salaries.
The Kabul Bank collapse is a genuine Afghan nightmare that threatens
to engulf the major politicians of that land and possibly the rickety,
rotting political system the Americans helped build over the last
decade. It may, in the end, prove a symbol of everything the American
war delivered to a tiny slice of Afghan society and almost no one else.
Nick Turse’s newest book -- he’s the editor -- The Case for Withdrawal from Afghanistan (Verso
Books), is just out and how could it be more timely? The impressive
war reporter Patrick Cockburn calls it "a fascinating and essential
guide." As we watch the American project in that country unravel, isn’t
it the moment to finally put withdrawal on the American agenda? After
all, we don’t really need to oversee the collapse of Afghanistan’s
banking system when we’ve done so well here at home.
(To catch Turse in Timothy MacBain's latest TomCast audio interview
discussing why withdrawal from Afghanistan hasn't been on the American
agenda , click
here or, to download it to your iPod,
here.)
Tom
How Much “Success” Can Afghans Stand?
The American War and Afghanistan’s Civilians
by Nick Turse
As the
United States approaches the tenth anniversary of the invasion of
Afghanistan, pundits have been chewing over just what “success” in
Afghanistan might mean for Washington. What success might mean for
ordinary Afghans hasn’t, however, been a major topic of conversation,
even though U.S. officials have regularly promised them far better lives
and trumpeted American efforts to reconstruct that war-torn land.
Between 2001 and 2009, according
to the Afghan government, the country has received $36 billion in
grants and loans from donor nations, with the United States disbursing
some $23 billion of it. U.S. taxpayers have anted up another $338
billion to fund
the war and occupation. Yet from poverty indexes to risk-of-rape
assessments, from childhood mortality figures to drug-use stats, just
about every available measure of Afghan wellbeing paints a grim picture
of a country in a persistent state of humanitarian crisis, often
involving reconstruction and military failures on an epic scale. Pick a
measurement affecting ordinary Afghans and the record since November
2001 when Kabul fell to Allied forces is likely to show stagnation or
setbacks and, almost invariably, suffering.
Almost a decade after the U.S. invasion, life for Afghan civilians is
not a subject Americans care much about and so, not surprisingly, it
plays little role in Washington's discussions of “success.” Have a
significant number of Afghans found the years of occupation and war
“successful”? Has there been a payoff in everyday life for the
indignities of the American years -- the cars stopped or sometimes shot
up at road checkpoints, the American patrols trooping through fields and searching homes, the terrifying night raids, the imprisonments without trial, or the way so many Afghans continue to be treated like foreigners, if not criminal suspects, in their own country?
For years, American leaders have hailed the way Afghans are
supposedly benefiting from the U.S. role in their country. But are
they?
The promises began early. In April 2002, for instance, speaking at the Virginia Military Institute, President George W. Bush proclaimed
that in Afghanistan “peace will be achieved through an education system
for boys and girls which works.” He added, “We're working hard in
Afghanistan: We're clearing mine fields. We're rebuilding roads. We're
improving medical care. And we will work to help Afghanistan to develop
an economy that can feed its people without feeding the world's demand
for drugs.”
When, on May 1, 2003, President Bush strode across the flight deck of the USS Abraham Lincoln
to deliver his “mission accomplished” speech, declaring an end to
“major combat operations in Iraq,” he also spoke of triumph in the other
war and once again offered a rosy picture of Afghan developments. “We
continue to help the Afghan people lay roads, restore hospitals, and
educate all of their children,” he said. Five years later, he was still
touting American aid to Afghans, noting
that the U.S. was “working to ensure that our military progress is
accompanied by the political and economic gains that are critical to the
success of a free Afghanistan."
Earlier this year, President Barack Obama seemed to suggest that
efforts to promote Afghan wellbeing had indeed been a success: “There is
no denying the progress that the Afghan people have made in recent
years -- in education, in health care and economic development, as I saw
in the lights across Kabul when I landed -- lights that would not have
been visible just a few years earlier.”
So, almost 10 years on, just what are the lives of ordinary Afghans
like? Has childhood mortality markedly improved? Are women, if not
equal in terms of civil rights, at least secure in the knowledge that
men are not able to rape them with impunity? Have all Afghan children
-- or even most -- started on the road to a decent education?
Or how about a more basic question? After almost a decade of war and
tens of billions in international aid, do Afghans have enough to eat? I
recently posed that question to Challiss McDonough of the United Nation’s World Food Program in Afghanistan.
Food Insecurity
In October 2001, the BBC reported that more
than seven million people were "at risk of malnutrition or food
shortages across Afghanistan.” In an email, McDonough updated that
estimate: “The most recent data on food insecurity comes from the last
National Risk and Vulnerability Assesment (NRVA), which was conducted in
2007/2008 and released in late October 2009. It found that about 7.4
million people are food-insecure, roughly 31 percent of the estimated
population. Another 37 percent are considered to be on the borderline
of food insecurity, and could be pushed over the edge by shocks such as
floods, drought, or conflict-related displacement.”
Food insecurity indicators, McDonough pointed out, are heading in the
wrong direction. “The NRVA of 2007/08 showed that the food security
had deteriorated in 25 out of the 34 provinces compared to the 2005
NRVA. This was the result of a combination of factors, including high
food prices, rising insecurity and recurring natural disasters.” As she
also pointed out, “About 36 percent of the population lives below the
poverty line and cannot afford basic necessities. Staple food prices
remain higher than they are in neighboring countries, and higher than
they were before the global high-food-price crisis began in 2007.”
Recently, the international risk management firm Maplecroft put together
a food security index -- using 12 criteria developed with the United
Nations’ World Food Program -- to evaluate the threat to supplies of
basic food staples in 163 countries. Afghanistan ranked dead last and
was the only non-African nation among the 10 most food-insecure
countries on the planet.
Refugees and Internally Displaced Persons
During the Soviet occupation of the 1980s and the grim years of
Taliban rule in the later 1990s, millions of Afghans fled their
country. While many returned after 2001, large numbers have continued
to live abroad. More than one million registered Afghans reportedly live in Iran. Another 1.5 million or more
undocumented, unregistered Afghan refugees may also reside in that
country. Some 1.7 million or more Afghan refugees currently live in
Pakistan -- 1.5 million of them in recently flood-ravaged provinces, according to Adrian Edwards, a spokesman for the U.N.'s refugee agency.
Many Afghans who still remain in their country cannot return home
either. According to a 2008 report by the United Nations High
Commission for Refugees (UNHCR), there were 235,833 internally displaced
persons nationwide. As of the middle of this year, the numbers had
reportedly increased to more than 328,000.
Children’s Well-Being
In 2000, according to
the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), mortality for children
under five years of age stood at 257 per 1,000. In 2008, the last year
for which data was available, that number had not budged. It had, in
fact, only slightly improved since 1990, when after almost a decade of
Soviet occupation and brutal warfare, the numbers stood at 260 per
1,000. The figures were similar for infant mortality -- 168 per 1,000
in 1990, 165 per 1,000 in 2008.
In 2002, according to the U.N., about 50% of Afghan children were
chronically malnourished. The most recent comprehensive national
survey, done two years into the U.S. occupation, found (according to the
World Food Program’s McDonough) about 60% of children under five
chronically malnourished.
Childhood education is a rare area of genuine improvement. Afghan
government statistics show steady growth -- from 3,083,434 children in
primary school in 2002 to 4,788,366 enrolled in 2008. Still, there are
more young children outside than in the classroom, according to 2010
UNICEF numbers, which indicate that approximately five million Afghan
children do not attend school -- most of them girls.
Many youngsters find themselves on the streets. Reuters recently reported
that there are no fewer than 600,000 street children in Afghanistan.
Shafiqa Zaher, a social worker with Aschiana, a children’s aid group
receiving U.S. funds, told reporter Andrew Hammond that most have a
home, even if only a crumbling shell of a building, but their caregivers
are often disabled and unemployed. Many are, therefore, forced into
child labor. “Poverty is getting worse in Afghanistan and children are
forced to find work,” said Zaher.
In 2002, the U.N. reported
that there were more than one million children in Afghanistan who had
lost one or both parents. Not much appears to have changed in the
intervening years. “I have seen estimates that there are over
one million Afghan children whose father or mother is deceased,” Mike
Whipple, the Chairman and CEO of International Orphan Care, a U.S.-based humanitarian organization that operates schools and medical clinics in Afghanistan, told me by email recently.
Increasingly, even Afghan youngsters with families are desperate
enough to abandon their homeland and attempt a treacherous overland
journey to Europe and possible asylum. This year, UNHCR reported
that ever more Afghan children are fleeing their country alone. Almost
6,000 of them, mostly boys, sought asylum in European countries in
2009, compared to about 3,400 a year earlier.
Women’s Rights
In his 2002 State of the Union address, President Bush told Congress:
"The last time we met in this chamber, the mothers and daughters of
Afghanistan were captives in their own homes, forbidden from working or
going to school. Today women are free and are part of Afghanistan's new
government." Last year, when asked about a new Afghan law sanctioning the oppression of women, President Obama asserted
that there were “certain basic principles that all nations should
uphold, and respect for women and respect for their freedom and
integrity is an important principle.”
Recently, the plight of women in Afghanistan again made U.S. headlines thanks to a shocking TIME magazine cover image
of Bibi Aisha, an Afghan whose ears and nose were sliced off after she
ran away from her husband’s house. “What Happens When We Leave
Afghanistan” was TIME’s headline, but reporter Ann Jones, who
has worked closely with women in Afghanistan and talked to Bibi Aisha,
took issue with the TIME cover in the Nation magazine,
pointing out that it was evidently not the Taliban who mutilated Aisha
and that the brutal assault took place eight years into the U.S.
occupation. Life for women in Afghanistan has not been the bed of roses
promised by Bush nor typified by the basic rights proffered by Obama,
as Jones noted:
“Consider the
creeping Talibanization of Afghan life under the Karzai government.
Restrictions on women's freedom of movement, access to work and rights
within the family have steadily tightened as the result of a confluence
of factors, including the neglect of legal and judicial reform and the
obligations of international human rights conventions; legislation
typified by the infamous Shia Personal Status Law (SPSL), gazetted in
2009 by President Karzai himself despite women's protests and
international furor; intimidation; and violence."
Her observations are echoed in a recent report by Medica Mondiale, a
German non-governmental organization that advocates for the rights of
women and girls in war and crisis zones around the world. As its blunt
briefing began, “Nine years after 11 September and the start of the
operation ‘Enduring Freedom,’ which justified its commitment not only
with the hunt for terrorists, but also with the fight for women’s
rights, the situation of women and girls in Afghanistan still is
catastrophic.” Medica Mondiale reported that 80% of all Afghan
marriages are still “concluded under compulsion.”
The basic safety of women in Afghanistan in, and well beyond,
Taliban-controlled areas has in recent years proven a dismal subject
even though the Americans haven’t left. According to the United Nations
Development Fund for Women (UNIFEM), for instance, 87% of women are subject to domestic abuse.
A 2009 report by the U.N. Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA)
found that rape “is an everyday occurrence in all parts of the country”
and called it a “human rights problem of profound proportions.” That
report continued:
"Women and girls are
at risk of rape in their homes and in their communities, in detention
facilities and as a result of traditional harmful practices to resolve
feuds within the family or community... In the northern region for
example, 39 percent of the cases analyzed by UNAMA Human Rights, found
that perpetrators were directly linked to power brokers who are,
effectively, above the law and enjoy immunity from arrest as well as
immunity from social condemnation."
Afghan women are reportedly turning to suicide as their only solution.
A June report by Sudabah Afzali of the Institute for War & Peace Reporting noted
that, according to officials in Herat Province, “cases of suicide
amongst women… have increased by 50 per cent over the last year.” Sayed
Naim Alemi, the director of the regional hospital in Herat, noted that
85 cases of attempted suicide recorded in the previous six months had
involved women setting themselves on fire or ingesting poison. In 57 of
the cases, the women had died.
A study
conducted by former Afghan Deputy Health Minister Faizullah Kakar and
released in August gave a sense of the breadth of the problem. Using
Afghan Health Ministry records and hospital reports, Kakar found that an
estimated 2,300 women or girls were attempting suicide each year.
Domestic violence, bitter hardships, and mental illness were the leading
factors in their decisions. “This is a several-fold increase on three
decades ago,” said Kakar. In addition, he found that about 1.8 million
Afghan women and girls between the ages of 15 and 40 are suffering from
“severe depression.”
Drug Use
Rampant depression, among both men and women, has led to
self-medication. While opium-poppy cultivation on an almost
unimaginable scale in the planet’s leading narco-state has garnered headlines
since 2001, little attention has been paid to drug use by ordinary
Afghans, even though it has been on a steep upward trajectory.
In 2003, according to
Afghanistan's Public Health Minister Amin Fatimie, there were
approximately 7,000 heroin addicts in the capital city, Kabul. In 2007,
that number was estimated to have doubled. By 2009, UNAMA and the
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNDOC) estimated that the city
was home to up to 20,000 heroin users and another 20,000 to 25,000
opium users.
Unfortunately, Kabul has no monopoly on the problem. "Three decades
of war-related trauma, unlimited availability of cheap narcotics, and
limited access to treatment have created a major, and growing, addiction
problem in Afghanistan," says
Antonio Maria Costa, the Executive Director of UNDOC. Since 2005, the
number of Afghan opium users nationwide has jumped by 53%, while heroin
users have skyrocketed by 140%. According to UNODC’s survey, Drug Use in Afghanistan,
approximately one million Afghans between the ages of 15 and 64 are
addicted to drugs. That adds up to about 8% of the population and twice
the global average.
AIDs and Sex Work
Since the U.S. occupation began, AIDS and HIV, the virus that causes
the disease, have reportedly also been on the rise. In 2002, only eight
people tested positive for HIV. In 2007, Public Health Minister Fatimie reported 61 confirmed cases of AIDS and 2,000 more suspected cases.
Fatamie blamed intravenous drug use for half the cases and the NGO
Médecins du Monde, which works with intravenous drug users in Kabul, found
that HIV prevalence among such users in the cities of Kabul, Herat, and
Mazar had risen from 3% to 7% between 2006 and 2009. A 2010 report by
the Public Health Ministry revealed that knowledge about HIV among
intravenous drug users was astonishingly low, that few had ever been
tested for the virus, and that of those who admitted to purchasing sex
within the previous six months, most confessed to not having used a
condom.
This last fact is hardly surprising, given the findings from a recent
study by Catherine Todd and colleagues of 520 female sex workers,
almost all mothers, in the Afghan cities of Jalalabad, Kabul, and
Mazar-i-Sharif. Only about 30% of the women surveyed reported clients
had ever used a condom with them and about 50% had received treatment
for a sexually transmitted infection in the three months prior to being
interviewed.
The same study also sheds light on the intersection between high-risk
behaviors, socio-economic conditions, and the freedom and opportunities
promised to Afghan women by Presidents Bush and Obama. The most common
reasons Afghan women engaged in sex work, Todd and colleagues found,
were the need to support themselves (50%) or their families (32.4%).
Almost 9% reported being forced into sex work by their families. Just
over 5% turned to prostitution after being widowed, and 1.5% were forced
into the profession after they were sexually assaulted and,
consequently, found themselves unable to marry.
A Decade of Progress?
In the near-decade since Kabul fell in November 2001, a sizeable
majority of Afghans have continued to live in poverty and privation.
Measuring such misery may be impossible, but the United Nations has
tried to find a comprehensive way to do so nonetheless. Using a Human
Poverty Index which “focuses on the proportion of people below certain
threshold[s] in regard to a long and healthy life, having access to
education, and a decent standard of living,” the U.N. found that,
comparatively speaking, it doesn’t get worse than life in Afghanistan.
The nation ranks dead last in its listing, number 135 out of 135
countries. This is what “success” means today in Afghanistan.
The United Nations also ranks countries via a Human Development Index
which includes such indicators of wellbeing as life expectancy,
educational attainment, and income. In 2004, the U.N. and the Afghan
government issued the first National Human Development Report. In its
foreword, the publication cautioned:
“As was expected,
the report has painted a gloomy picture of the status of human
development in the country after two decades of war and destruction. The
Human Development Index (HDI) value calculated nationally puts
Afghanistan at the dismal ranking of 173 out of 178 countries worldwide.
Yet the HDI also presents us with a benchmark against which progress
can be measured in the future.“
The only place to go, it seemed, was up. And yet, in 2009, when the
U.N. issued a new Human Development Report, Afghanistan was in even
worse shape, ranking number 181 of 182 nations, higher only than Niger.
Almost 10 years of U.S. and allied occupation, development,
mentoring, reconstruction aid, and assistance has taken the country from
unbearably dismal to something markedly poorer. And yet even worse is
still possible for the long-suffering men, women, and children of
Afghanistan. As the U.S. war and occupation drags on without serious
debate about withdrawal on the Washington agenda, questions need to be
asked about the fate of Afghan civilians. Chief among them: How many
more years of “progress” can they endure, and if the U.S. stays, how
much more “success” can they stand?
Nick Turse is the associate editor of TomDispatch.com. An award-winning journalist, his work has appeared in the Los Angeles Times, the Nation, and regularly at TomDispatch. His latest book, The Case for Withdrawal from Afghanistan (Verso Books), which brings together leading analysts from across the political spectrum, has just been published. He
discusses why withdrawal from Afghanistan hasn't been on the American
agenda in Timothy MacBain's latest TomCast audio interview, which can be
accessed by clicking here or downloaded to your iPod here. Turse is currently a fellow at Harvard University’s Radcliffe Institute. You can follow him on Twitter @NickTurse, on Tumblr, and on Facebook. His website is NickTurse.com.
Copyright 2010 Nick Turse