Simulating an Iranian Attack on Israel - Why?
According to reports in Israeli newspapers, the US and Israel are
going to hold their largest ever joint military exercise in October,
shortly before American voters decide whether to give Barack Obama a
second term in the White House or replace him with Mitt Romney.
exercise, involving thousands of soldiers and the most advanced
anti-missile defence systems, will simulate simultaneous attacks from
Iran and Syria.
Given that there is no prospect of Iran initiating missile strikes or
other military action against Israel – I mean that it will only fire in
response to an Israeli or an American-and-Israeli attack - what is the
real purpose of the forthcoming exercise?
My speculation is that President Obama may have approved it for a
self-serving reason of (American) domestic politics.
Party is painting Obama as a president who is putting Israel at risk by
being soft on Iran – by not doing enough to prevent it acquiring
nuclear weapons and by restraining Israel from attacking Iran. In a very
tight or close race for the White House, and fully exploited by the
Zionist lobby and its evangelical Christian allies, the Republican
assertion that Obama is a threat to Israel just could tip the balance in
With that possibility in his mind, Obama might well have approved the
exercise to simulate Iranian and Syrian missile attacks on Israel in
order to have, when the exercise is underway, a headline-grabbing way of
exposing the Republican charge against him for the partisan propaganda
nonsense it is.
With television footage of the exercise in the
background behind him, I can almost hear Obama saying something like:
“No American president, Democrat or Republican, has done more than me to
best protect and guarantee Israel’s security.”
It could also be that Obama has calculated that such a demonstration of
his support for Israel’s security at the end of his first term will
give him enough credibility in the bank of American Jewish opinion to
allow him to continue to prevail on Israel not to attack Iran in his
But there is another possibility. It could be that Obama fears that in
the event of failure to resolve the nuclear crisis by diplomacy,
stopping Israel from attacking Iran at some point will be a mission
impossible whoever is on watch in the White House.
An Israeli attack on Iran could set the region on fire and leave the US
with no choice but to become fully engaged militarily. With that
possible scenario in his mind, Obama may have concluded that the
forthcoming exercise with Israel will assist US forces to be best
prepared for a doomsday situation in the Middle East and possibly far
We shall see.